Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000204 0.000229 0.000255 0.000284 0.000318 0.000354 0.000396
2024-12-22 0.000169 0.000202 0.000239 0.000285 0.000339 0.000402 0.000480
2024-12-29 0.000144 0.000181 0.000227 0.000285 0.000358 0.000448 0.000565
2025-01-05 0.000123 0.000163 0.000213 0.000281 0.000371 0.000487 0.000646
2025-01-12 0.000108 0.000149 0.000204 0.000281 0.000388 0.000531 0.000736
2025-01-19 0.000097 0.000139 0.000197 0.000283 0.000406 0.000578 0.000835
2025-01-26 0.000085 0.000128 0.000188 0.000279 0.000416 0.000613 0.000921
2025-02-02 0.000081 0.000125 0.000189 0.000292 0.000450 0.000685 0.001065
2025-02-09 0.000074 0.000119 0.000186 0.000296 0.000471 0.000740 0.001189
2025-02-16 0.000069 0.000113 0.000182 0.000299 0.000490 0.000793 0.001314
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000107 0.000177 0.000298 0.000503 0.000837 0.001427
2025-03-02 0.000057 0.000100 0.000169 0.000293 0.000508 0.000868 0.001520
2025-03-09 0.000053 0.000094 0.000164 0.000292 0.000521 0.000916 0.001652
2025-03-16 0.000049 0.000089 0.000160 0.000293 0.000537 0.000969 0.001799
2025-03-23 0.000045 0.000085 0.000156 0.000294 0.000553 0.001024 0.001953
2025-03-30 0.000041 0.000080 0.000150 0.000290 0.000560 0.001063 0.002083
2025-04-06 0.000038 0.000076 0.000147 0.000290 0.000574 0.001117 0.002246
2025-04-13 0.000036 0.000073 0.000144 0.000292 0.000592 0.001180 0.002431
2025-04-20 0.000033 0.000069 0.000139 0.000288 0.000598 0.001220 0.002574
2025-04-27 0.000032 0.000069 0.000142 0.000301 0.000639 0.001332 0.002880
2025-05-04 0.000031 0.000067 0.000141 0.000305 0.000663 0.001412 0.003122
2025-05-11 0.000029 0.000065 0.000139 0.000308 0.000684 0.001489 0.003366
2025-05-18 0.000027 0.000062 0.000136 0.000307 0.000697 0.001548 0.003575